Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $50K. 24-hour volume: $19. Market closes December 31, 2026.

polymarketpolitics

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
3% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
97¢
24h Vol
$19
Total
$50K
Liq
$15K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Analysis
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? (3% odds) | Kelvon