Everything the price doesn't tell you.
Same question. One gives you data, the other gives you an essay.
The two largest YES positions are held by wallets up +$861K and +$395K all-time. $1.25M in combined lifetime profits, long on YES. Real conviction from real money.
I don't have access to real-time wallet activity on Polymarket or other prediction markets, and I can't identify specific traders or their positions. However, I can share some general considerations about how to think about smart money in crypto markets.
1) Who tends to be "smart money" — traders with documented edge, often measured by historical profitability, position sizing discipline, or domain expertise.
2) Signals to watch — volume concentration, entry timing, and cross-market behavior can all hint at conviction.
3) Important caveats — without live wallet data I can't tell you who is currently long YES. Even with the data, past performance isn't always predictive, and similar markets historically may not capture the unique dynamics here, so consider this only one input among many…
Live data. Grounded analysis.
Connect your accounts. See positions, P&L, hit rate, and the categories where your edge actually lives.
Everything prediction market traders need, in one place.
Ask anything about any market. Get structured answers grounded in live data. Follow up naturally; Kelvon remembers context.
Kelvon's Take, Best Price across exchanges, Money flows, Historical Results, surfaced on every market.
Connect your accounts. See positions, P&L, hit rate, and where you're sharp versus leaking.
Track the markets that matter. Every news story semantically matched to the markets it moves.
Start free. Upgrade when you need more.
Programmatic access to Kelvon's indicators and analytics.
Common questions about Kelvon.
Kelvon is an AI-native prediction market research and trading platform designed to help traders understand any market and trade with confidence.
Yes. No credit card required.
You'll receive your new credits immediately. Any unused credits from your previous plan will carry forward.
Yes. You'll keep full access through the end of your billing cycle, and any unused credits will roll over for one cycle.
For paid plans, unused credits roll over to your next billing cycle. Rollover credits are used first and expire if not used by the end of that cycle.