Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 71% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $247K. 24-hour volume: $22K. Market closes October 1, 2026.

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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?

Closes: Oct 1, 2026
71% Yes
Buy Yes
55¢
Buy No
47¢
24h Vol
$22K
Total
$247K
OI
$156K
Resolution Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Analysis
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026? (71% odds) | Kelvon