Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 0% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $45K. 24-hour volume: $20K. Market closes January 20, 2029.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
kalshipolitics
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
Closes: Jan 20, 2029
0% Michael Ellis
Buy Yes
0¢
Buy No
100¢
24h Vol24h Volume
$20K
TotalTotal Volume
$45K
OIOpen Interest
$29K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
Market Analysis