Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before April 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 88% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $124K. 24-hour volume: $3K. Market closes April 1, 2027.

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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?

Closes: Apr 1, 2027
88% Yes
Buy Yes
82¢
Buy No
19¢
24h Vol
$3K
Total
$124K
OI
$69K
Resolution Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before April 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Analysis
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027? (88% odds) | Kelvon