Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 100% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $48K. 24-hour volume: $36K. Market closes June 30, 2026.

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Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

Closes: Jun 30, 2026
100% Yes
Buy Yes
100¢
Buy No
24h Vol
$36K
Total
$48K
Liq
$13K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Analysis
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? (100% odds) | Kelvon