Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 56% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $747K. 24-hour volume: $80K. Market closes August 1, 2026.

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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?

Closes: Aug 1, 2026
56% Yes
Buy Yes
34¢
Buy No
67¢
24h Vol
$80K
Total
$747K
OI
$390K
Resolution Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Analysis
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026? (56% odds) | Kelvon