Will Ilia Topuria win the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight in Round 1

If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the sports category. Currently priced at 37% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $52K. 24-hour volume: $21K. Market closes June 29, 2026.

kalshisports

Will Ilia Topuria win the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight in Round 1

Closes: Jun 29, 2026
37% Yes
Buy Yes
37¢
Buy No
64¢
24h Vol
$21K
Total
$52K
OI
$50K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Market Analysis
Will Ilia Topuria win the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight in Round 1 (37% odds) | Kelvon