Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in May 2026?
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 76% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $40K. 24-hour volume: $4K. Market closes June 10, 2026.
Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in May 2026?
Resolution Rules
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (June 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.