Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 64% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $296K. 24-hour volume: $63K. Market closes September 1, 2026.

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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?

Closes: Sep 1, 2026
64% Yes
Buy Yes
46¢
Buy No
56¢
24h Vol
$63K
Total
$296K
OI
$153K
Resolution Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Analysis
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026? (64% odds) | Kelvon