Will it rain in New York City on Thursday?
If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 18, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the weather category. Currently priced at 100% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $68K. 24-hour volume: $64K. Market closes June 19, 2026.
Will it rain in New York City on Thursday?
Resolution Rules
If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 18, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches. If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 18, 2026 or June 25, 2026. If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 25, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.