Will the maximum temperature be <74° on Jun 12, 2026?

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 12, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the weather category. Currently priced at 1% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $52K. 24-hour volume: $77K. Market closes June 13, 2026.

kalshiweather

Will the maximum temperature be <74° on Jun 12, 2026?

Closes: Jun 13, 2026
1% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
24h Vol
$77K
Total
$52K
OI
$24K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 12, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.

Market Analysis
Will the maximum temperature be <74° on Jun 12, 2026? (1% odds) | Kelvon