Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 15, 2026?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 31% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $56K. 24-hour volume: $56K. Market closes July 21, 2026.

Trade on Kalshi
kalshipolitics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 15, 2026?

Closes: Jul 21, 2026
31% Yes
Buy Yes
31¢
Buy No
70¢
24h Vol
$56K
Total
$56K
OI
$40K
Resolution Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Analysis
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 15, 2026? (31% odds) | Kelvon