Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 14% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $172K. 24-hour volume: $840. Market closes June 30, 2026.

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Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Closes: Jun 30, 2026
14% Yes
Buy Yes
15¢
Buy No
88¢
24h Vol
$840
Total
$172K
Liq
$16K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Analysis
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? (14% odds) | Kelvon