Will at least 4 group winners be knocked out in the Round of 32 of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?

If at least 4 group winners are knocked out in the Round of 32 of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the sports category. Currently priced at 45% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $70K. 24-hour volume: $62K. Market closes July 11, 2026.

kalshisports

Will at least 4 group winners be knocked out in the Round of 32 of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?

Closes: Jul 11, 2026
45% Yes
Buy Yes
58¢
Buy No
47¢
24h Vol
$62K
Total
$70K
OI
$63K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If at least 4 group winners are knocked out in the Round of 32 of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For the purposes of this market, a "group winner" is considered a team that finished in first place within their group during the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.

Market Analysis
Will at least 4 group winners be knocked out in the Round of 32 of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup? (45% odds) | Kelvon