Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 32% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $48K. 24-hour volume: $4K. Market closes January 20, 2029.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
kalshipolitics
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
Closes: Jan 20, 2029
32% Aaron Lukas
Buy Yes
32¢
Buy No
69¢
24h Vol24h Volume
$4K
TotalTotal Volume
$48K
OIOpen Interest
$28K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
Market Analysis