Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 93% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $43K. 24-hour volume: $93. Market closes June 2, 2026.

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Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Closes: Jun 2, 2026
93% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
24h Vol
$93
Total
$43K
Liq
$11K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market Analysis
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? (93% odds) | Kelvon