Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 42% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $40K. 24-hour volume: $202. Market closes January 3, 2028.

kalshipolitics

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

Closes: Jan 3, 2028
42% Yes
Buy Yes
43¢
Buy No
59¢
24h Vol
$202
Total
$40K
OI
$26K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: GOP Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.

Market Analysis
Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027? (42% odds) | Kelvon