Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 1% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $41K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes May 31, 2026.

polymarketpolitics

Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Closes: May 31, 2026
1% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
100¢
24h Vol
$2K
Total
$41K
Liq
$15K
Resolution Rules

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Market Analysis
Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? (1% odds) | Kelvon