Will above 40000 jobs be added in May 2026?
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 40000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 74% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $39K. 24-hour volume: $17K. Market closes June 5, 2026.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
kalshieconomics
Will above 40000 jobs be added in May 2026?
Closes: Jun 5, 2026
74% Yes
Buy Yes
74¢
Buy No
27¢
24h Vol24h Volume
$17K
TotalTotal Volume
$39K
OIOpen Interest
$35K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 40000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
Market Analysis