Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 23% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $170K. 24-hour volume: $325. Market closes December 31, 2026.

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Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
23% Yes
Buy Yes
24¢
Buy No
79¢
24h Vol
$325
Total
$170K
Liq
$10K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Analysis
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? (23% odds) | Kelvon