US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the Un

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 69% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $55K. 24-hour volume: $40K. Market closes July 1, 2026.

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US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Closes: Jul 1, 2026
69% Yes
Buy Yes
70¢
Buy No
33¢
24h Vol
$40K
Total
$55K
Liq
$35K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Analysis
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? (69% odds) | Kelvon