Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the sports category. Currently priced at 42% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $46K. 24-hour volume: $11K. Market closes July 4, 2026.

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Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Closes: Jul 4, 2026
42% Yes
Buy Yes
42¢
Buy No
59¢
24h Vol
$11K
Total
$46K
Liq
$14K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Analysis
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (42% odds) | Kelvon