Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 92% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $131K. 24-hour volume: $20. Market closes June 25, 2026.

polymarketpolitics

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Closes: Jun 25, 2026
92% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
24h Vol
$20
Total
$131K
Liq
$14K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Market Analysis
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? (92% odds) | Kelvon