US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the crypto category. Currently priced at 28% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $40K. 24-hour volume: $154. Market closes December 31, 2026.

polymarketcrypto

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
28% Yes
Buy Yes
31¢
Buy No
74¢
24h Vol
$154
Total
$40K
Liq
$6K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Analysis