Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary be above 0%?
If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 10% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $44K. 24-hour volume: $19K. Market closes June 2, 2027.
Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary be above 0%?
Resolution Rules
If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden wins, or the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Larry Rhoden will be summed. If Larry Rhoden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Larry Rhoden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Larry Rhoden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).