Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 12% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $49K. 24-hour volume: $31K. Market closes December 31, 2026.

polymarketpolitics

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
12% Yes
Buy Yes
12¢
Buy No
89¢
24h Vol
$31K
Total
$49K
Liq
$19K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Analysis
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? (12% odds) | Kelvon