What will be the top AI model this month?

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 92% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $42K. 24-hour volume: $14K. Market closes June 13, 2026.

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What will be the top AI model this month?

Closes: Jun 13, 2026
92% claude-opus-4-6-thinking
Buy Yes
92¢
Buy No
10¢
24h Vol
$14K
Total
$42K
OI
$21K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Market Analysis
What will be the top AI model this month? (92% odds) | Kelvon