Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will res

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 14% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $42K. 24-hour volume: $6K. Market closes June 2, 2026.

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Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Closes: Jun 2, 2026
14% Yes
Buy Yes
14¢
Buy No
87¢
24h Vol
$6K
Total
$42K
Liq
$26K
Resolution Rules

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Market Analysis
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (14% odds) | Kelvon