Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient. Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 8% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $39K. Market closes December 31, 2026.
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient. Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.