Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 90% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $270K. 24-hour volume: $3K. Market closes July 1, 2027.

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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?

Closes: Jul 1, 2027
90% Yes
Buy Yes
87¢
Buy No
14¢
24h Vol
$3K
Total
$270K
OI
$138K
Resolution Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Analysis
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027? (90% odds) | Kelvon