Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?

If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 14% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $47K. 24-hour volume: $17K. Market closes July 14, 2026.

kalshipolitics

Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?

Closes: Jul 14, 2026
14% Yes
Buy Yes
14¢
Buy No
87¢
24h Vol
$17K
Total
$47K
OI
$28K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

"Dropped out" means the candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign, files official withdrawal paperwork, publicly states they are no longer seeking the office, or endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running. Suspending a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain in the race. Death or incapacitation resolves to No, not Yes. Losing a primary or election, failing to qualify for debates or ballots, or being eliminated through the normal election process does not constitute dropping out. Once someone drops out, the market resolves Yes even if they later re-enter the race.

Market Analysis
Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026? (14% odds) | Kelvon