Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in May?

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $40K. 24-hour volume: $11K. Market closes June 5, 2026.