Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribun

This is a polymarket prediction market in the other category. Currently priced at 57% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $38K. 24-hour volume: $40. Market closes October 4, 2026.

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Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Closes: Oct 4, 2026
57% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
24h Vol
$40
Total
$38K
Liq
$5K
Resolution Rules

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Market Analysis
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? (57% odds) | Kelvon