Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 10% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $135K. 24-hour volume: $481. Market closes December 31, 2026.

polymarketpolitics

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
10% Yes
Buy Yes
10¢
Buy No
91¢
24h Vol
$481
Total
$135K
Liq
$17K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Analysis
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? (10% odds) | Kelvon