Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

If Gavin Newsom (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 14% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $42K. 24-hour volume: $23. Market closes November 7, 2028.

kalshipolitics

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Closes: Nov 7, 2028
14% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
24h Vol
$23
Total
$42K
OI
$25K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Gavin Newsom (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.

Market Analysis
Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees? (14% odds) | Kelvon