Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the culture category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.5M. 24-hour volume: $99K. Market closes September 30, 2026.

polymarketculture

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Closes: Sep 30, 2026
5% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
95¢
24h Vol
$99K
Total
$1.5M
Liq
$129K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Analysis
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? (5% odds) | Kelvon