Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

If a reconciliation bill passes the House before June 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 50% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $72K. Market closes June 9, 2026.

kalshipolitics

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Closes: Jun 9, 2026
50% Before Jun 10, 2026
Buy Yes
Buy No
24h Vol
$0
Total
$72K
OI
$45K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If a reconciliation bill passes the House before June 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…"

Market Analysis
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026? (50% odds) | Kelvon