Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the culture category. Currently priced at 1% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $925K. 24-hour volume: $260K. Market closes December 31, 2026.

polymarketculture

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
1% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
99¢
24h Vol
$260K
Total
$925K
Liq
$14K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

Market Analysis
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? (1% odds) | Kelvon