Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

If a reconciliation bill passes the House before June 06, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 10% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $56K. 24-hour volume: $38K. Market closes June 6, 2026.

kalshipolitics

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Closes: Jun 6, 2026
10% Before Jun 6, 2026
Buy Yes
10¢
Buy No
91¢
24h Vol
$38K
Total
$56K
OI
$18K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If a reconciliation bill passes the House before June 06, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…"

Market Analysis
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026? (10% odds) | Kelvon