Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $50K. 24-hour volume: $556.

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Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

4% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
96¢
24h Vol
$556
Total
$50K
Liq
$10K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Analysis
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? (4% odds) | Kelvon