Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 64% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $49K. 24-hour volume: $15K. Market closes November 1, 2026.

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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Closes: Nov 1, 2026
64% Yes
Buy Yes
64¢
Buy No
37¢
24h Vol
$15K
Total
$49K
OI
$37K
Resolution Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Analysis
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026? (64% odds) | Kelvon