Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 30 12:00 PM ET to June 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker doe

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 33% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $49K. 24-hour volume: $42K. Market closes June 1, 2026.

polymarketpolitics

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Closes: Jun 1, 2026
33% Yes
Buy Yes
39¢
Buy No
62¢
24h Vol
$42K
Total
$49K
Liq
$19K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 30 12:00 PM ET to June 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sourcehttps://x.com/elonmusk
Market Analysis
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? (33% odds) | Kelvon