How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

If SpaceX has more than 14 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 11% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $40K. 24-hour volume: $13K. Market closes July 1, 2026.

kalshitechnology

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Closes: Jul 1, 2026
11% Above 14
Buy Yes
11¢
Buy No
90¢
24h Vol
$13K
Total
$40K
OI
$24K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If SpaceX has more than 14 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.

Market Analysis
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (11% odds) | Kelvon