Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the science category. Currently priced at 9% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $58K. 24-hour volume: $6. Market closes December 31, 2026.

polymarketscience

Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
9% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
24h Vol
$6
Total
$58K
Liq
$3K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Market Analysis
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? (9% odds) | Kelvon