Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1400000?

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff is above 1400000, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 11% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $125K. 24-hour volume: $3K. Market closes May 26, 2027.

kalshipolitics

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1400000?

Closes: May 26, 2027
11% Yes
Buy Yes
13¢
Buy No
91¢
24h Vol
$3K
Total
$125K
OI
$59K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff is above 1400000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Market Analysis