Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 0% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $60K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes May 31, 2026.

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Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?

Closes: May 31, 2026
0% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
100¢
24h Vol
$2K
Total
$60K
Liq
$16K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Analysis
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31? (0% odds) | Kelvon