Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 2% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $84K. 24-hour volume: $163. Market closes December 31, 2026.

polymarketpolitics

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
2% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
98¢
24h Vol
$163
Total
$84K
Liq
$8K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Analysis
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok? (2% odds) | Kelvon