How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
If SpaceX has more than 16 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $47K. 24-hour volume: $7K. Market closes July 1, 2026.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
kalshitechnology
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Closes: Jul 1, 2026
4% Above 16
Buy Yes
5¢
Buy No
96¢
24h Vol24h Volume
$7K
TotalTotal Volume
$47K
OIOpen Interest
$31K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If SpaceX has more than 16 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
Market Analysis