Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 27% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $224K. 24-hour volume: $223. Market closes December 31, 2026.

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
27% Yes
Buy Yes
28¢
Buy No
74¢
24h Vol
$223
Total
$224K
Liq
$27K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Analysis
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? (27% odds) | Kelvon